History Professor Faces Backlash After Incorrect 2024 Election Prediction

Allan Lichtman, a historian renowned for accurately predicting nine out of the last eleven U.S. presidential elections, has reported receiving death threats following his incorrect forecast for 2024.

In September, Lichtman anticipated a victory for Vice President Kamala Harris against former President Donald Trump.

He expressed through a message on platform X that his family has been subjected to threats, doxxing, and intimidation attempts. "We refuse to be intimidated. Federal authorities are now aware," he declared.

According to a statement he gave to Business Insider, the threats have been mainly relayed via emails and social networking sites.

"There have been two incidents where intruders tried to enter our home," Lichtman informed BI.

Fortunately, no harm has come to anyone, and the law enforcement officers have attended to these attempted break-ins.

Reactions and Reflections

During a recent podcast on his YouTube channel, Lichtman described the abominable messages he has been receiving as "mindless and offensive."

"I acknowledge my mistake. I thought Harris would win, but she did not," he shared in his online broadcast.

He also pointed out that he was not alone in his incorrect forecast. "Numerous other predictive models also failed," Lichtman added.

Lichtman's forecasting technique, known as the "Keys to the White House," comprises 13 questions answered with true or false. As of his September discussion with The New York Times, he noted that Harris was favored in eight out of these 13 questions.

Back in 2016, he accurately forecasted Donald Trump's election victory.

Recently, the former Republican president secured his reelection, garnering 312 electoral votes, while Harris obtained 226.