Why the Decline in Global Population Matters to Progressives

Polarization should not divert our focus from addressing a crucial global challenge.

At the onset of the Covid crisis, I expressed concern through my writings that the real danger was how the pandemic could morph into a divisive political topic. I believed our collective response was contingent on maintaining unity beyond political lines.

A United Front

In situations not marred by partisan divisions, our nation is much better equipped to tackle significant and multifaceted problems. Initially, Covid appeared to remain outside this realm, giving hope that with diligent effort, we could continue that trend.

Unfortunately, it didn’t unfold as hoped.

Changing Paradigms

Recent years have seen declining family formation rates in the U.S. and globally transition from a niche topic to a prominent issue, which is now at risk of becoming politicized. This mirrors the regretful politicization of Covid.

It's crucial to safeguard societal frameworks that empower individuals with choices regarding family planning, rather than allowing cultural battles to dictate these rights.

The Importance of Fostering Family Growth

Global birth rates are in decline almost everywhere.

Previously, experts predicted the world’s population might stabilize mid-century. Yet, it is now projected to begin dwindling, possibly before 2060.

One might assume fewer people would ease demands on resources and increase opportunities, but the reality diverges.

A shrinking, aging population forecasts a significant reduction in future living standards. The working-age group will bear more of the burden, and opportunities that enrich life will diminish. This isn't a mere adjustment but an ongoing decline until reversed.

Isn't this better for the environment, one might ask? Contrary to intuition, affluent societies are better equipped to counteract climate change. However, an overstretched economy in a shrinking society could redirect that positive trajectory.

Historically, poorer, industrially nascent societies have caused more environmental damage. Reverting to such states would not bode well for ecological health.

Facing the Inevitable

This demographic crisis, as serious as climate change, has faced denial and apathy. Partially, this stems from historical fears of overpopulation and current political divisions.

High-profile figures and events, like those involving Elon Musk and the Natalist Con, have stirred diverse opinions but have also injected a right-wing slant into the discourse, prompting some liberals to dismiss it altogether.

Reframing the Dialogue

Ensuring freedom in family planning remains a triumph of modern society. Pressuring anyone into childbearing remains unacceptable, and any such pronatalist stance should be dismissed.

Nevertheless, there are policies that enhance freedom, improve living conditions, and align with progressive ideals while potentially boosting birth rates.

Currently, Americans tend to have fewer children than desired. Bridging this gap could stabilize the population. While no policy offers a panacea, a comprehensive approach carries significant cost — yet likely less than ignoring the issue.

Potential benefits attached to pronatalist policies include housing affordability, early childhood education, parental support, improved education, and healthcare access. A united interest in supporting family growth can foster broader political alliances supportive of progressive policies.

Ignoring population concerns is detrimental. While stable or slightly declining populations are manageable, a sharp decrease spells trouble.

We must tackle this proactively and prevent the narrative from being monopolized by those least suited to lead it.