Dwindling Support for Trump in California

A recent survey by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, in partnership with The Times, highlights the significant unpopularity of President Trump within California. This sentiment spans both conservative and liberal circles, who express doubts about whether U.S. courts can serve as an effective check on his powers.

Widespread Disapproval in the Golden State

Conducted in late April, the poll reveals that 68% of Californian registered voters hold an unfavorable view of Trump's performance, believing the nation is heading in the wrong direction. Though California Republicans continue to back Trump's policies, 65% of voters—including a significant portion of Republicans and independents—argue that Trump has exceeded his constitutional powers.

Judicial Checks and Balances in Question

The survey reflects a lack of confidence in the judiciary's role as a check on presidential overreach, with merely 13% of participants expressing strong belief in the courts' ability to counteract such actions. Only a slight majority of strong conservatives and registered Republicans trust the courts to rein in presidential excess, with just over a quarter being very confident.

Since taking office, Trump's administration has frequently clashed with district court judges over adverse rulings, sometimes deliberately delaying or ignoring legal orders, such as a Supreme Court directive involving an erroneously deported Maryland resident.

A Consistent Trend of Low Approval

The same poll found that 61% of individuals believe Trump's subsequent term will be more detrimental than his initial one. Furthermore, only one-third think his alterations to the federal government will enhance California's situation.

According to poll director Mark DiCamillo, these figures are historically notable, reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with Trump throughout his tenure. The disapproval spans across different demographics, with significant percentages among white, Latino, Black, and Asian American voters voicing discontent.

Reflection on Biden's Presidency

Despite ongoing disapproval of Trump, the poll reveals mixed feelings about President Biden's legacy. A plurality of voters see Biden as an average leader, while opinions on his effectiveness are split between above and below average.

The survey demonstrates a tepid endorsement from California—historically a Democratic stronghold—where Biden secured a major voter turnout in 2020. However, by 2024, voter support shifted as Kamala Harris took the lead following Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race.